TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Trail Blazers49c50,730$24,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,857.7843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves51c50,264$25,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,629.321,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Trail Blazers55c41,071$22,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,652.236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves45c28,694$12,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,781.492,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves50c18,959$9,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,518.872,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves50c10,252$5,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60e…088cbacked Trail Blazers52c9,565$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves47c8,782$4,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,654.5413142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers49c7,810$3,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.742,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers53c7,747$4,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,125.821,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Trail Blazers56c7,555$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers50c6,677$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.691,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Trail Blazers50c6,500$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers42c6,401$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.81,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves50c6,282$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers50c5,472$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.051,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Trail Blazers49c5,087$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.7170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves51c5,000$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Trail Blazers56c4,334$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42724847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Timberwolves44c4,188$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.349440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves50c3,622$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.924942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Trail Blazers55c3,550$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.7548054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Trail Blazers56c3,404$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90629347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.331,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Timberwolves49c3,100$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5818348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves47c2,917$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.443,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Timberwolves49c2,850$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.4715450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Trail Blazers49c2,814$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37949246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves45c2,658$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.762,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves51c2,564$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.482,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Trail Blazers51c2,166$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.8922055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Trail Blazers50c2,125$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.3638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Trail Blazers55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10036748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves45c1,785$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.743,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Trail Blazers54c1,637$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.2421250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Timberwolves52c1,600$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7681,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers53c1,532$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Trail Blazers51c1,399$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.5180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves49c1,397$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.844,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Timberwolves50c1,271$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.257150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Trail Blazers50c1,138$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56941652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves45c1,100$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6071,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Timberwolves49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4167252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Timberwolves50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50018345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers46c1,000$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.331,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves49c938.87$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.483,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers51c927.43$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.151,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ba…bc23backed Trail Blazers57c893$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves50c874.63$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.863,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Timberwolves50c778.7$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.3510048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves45c761$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.575,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Trail Blazers49c709.24$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.559849%48 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Timberwolves44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Timberwolves52c660$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.88252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves61c651.25$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Trail Blazers39c638.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503727%10 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Timberwolves52c627.09$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Trail Blazers49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Trail Blazers54c600.54$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.828147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves46c597.83$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.832,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Trail Blazers51c587.08$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.4159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves52c500.02$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Trail Blazers49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24523644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Trail Blazers51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Timberwolves47c469.86$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0224450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves52c441.74$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8450653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Trail Blazers48c424.82$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8923845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Timberwolves44c420$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.217644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves44c414$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Trail Blazers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Trail Blazers49c399.71$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1126839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Timberwolves51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1646346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Timberwolves51c386.27$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2710049%49 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Timberwolves46c354.5$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers48c354.04$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9477348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Trail Blazers57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers38c326.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers52c319$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.892,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Timberwolves46c300$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Trail Blazers48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Timberwolves63c221$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Timberwolves49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0833150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Trail Blazers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Timberwolves52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Trail Blazers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers49c192.37$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.434,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b9…0a0dbacked Timberwolves47c190.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+75.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves49c170.8$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.111,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers54c166.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves69c162.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.841,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Timberwolves69c162.52$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Timberwolves52c154$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7154351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Timberwolves46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.172166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Trail Blazers52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Trail Blazers53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Timberwolves43c133.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8615147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves50c133$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.11,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.