NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d28bb1d84a8f6ae513559b8dce8058af177a265f131bf625a6640954b071e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 50c | 19,633$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,733.44 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 12,604$5,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 54c | 9,427$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.9 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 9,369$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 7,249$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 6,552$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.64 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 5,790$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 47c | 4,251$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.95 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 52c | 2,933$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.21 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,761$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 55c | 2,236$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.36 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,481$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 1,206$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,100$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 984.27$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.92 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 53c | 980$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.4 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 596.97$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 500$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 30c | 453.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 338.05$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.88 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 159.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Over | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 49c | 120.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 75.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 49c | 73.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 48c | 66.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 64.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 60c | 36.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…e50cbacked Over | 52c | 36.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 49c | 30.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 45c | 27.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 55c | 27.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 26.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.