NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe181c4a8ab32b9254874a431c2d6b8995bbe7bd9363cd1a9704794a2f2fdc4ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c44…752ebacked Under | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 48c | 15,370$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,040.73 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.98 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 11,263$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 6,600$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 5,061$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 5,059$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 57c | 4,228$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 3,827$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 3,750$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 3,507$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 45c | 3,229$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.47 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 2,536$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.5 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 54c | 2,378$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.18 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 49c | 2,331$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.24 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 2,102$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.67 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 54c | 1,903$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.97 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 1,254$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.99 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 1,192$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 48c | 713$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.27 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Under | 46c | 647.83$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 523.76$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.83 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 503.57$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 450.2$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 445$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.02 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 34c | 433.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 425.41$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 68c | 398$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 394.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 374.84$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.42 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 30c | 270.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 193.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 50c | 193$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 51c | 188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 50c | 116.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 116.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 53c | 115.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 52c | 110.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 54c | 102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 57c | 96.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 53c | 93.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Under | 47c | 91.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 49c | 86.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 49c | 84.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 68.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 47c | 64.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 48.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 51c | 47.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 49c | 47.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 35c | 45.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 54c | 45.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…a982backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 38.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 36.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 58c | 28.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 48c | 27.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.