TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Over45c26,390$11,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,436.797240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c21,260$11,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,143.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under54c15,717$8,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,544.5321250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c12,000$5,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,996.251,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under50c11,656$5,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,873.7216752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over46c11,479$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,198.787266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10017249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over64c9,962$6,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.443,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under47c3,890$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.591,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over51c3,708$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81725945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Under22c3,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7701850%9 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+202.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c3,016$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.6212855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c2,704$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.881,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c2,695$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c2,150$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.522,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Under50c2,090$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0465147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,620$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c1,461$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c1,432$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.4258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c1,416$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c1,150$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over44c1,076$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.6215147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c1,003$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over49c988$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.9926839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over51c882.35$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.352,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under51c878.5$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0338253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over49c714.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2917953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under55c701$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over51c686.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6131354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under48c627.29$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.11,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c577.76$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.551,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c512.44$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.213,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Under50c512$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25618456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Under58c484.91$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Over51c456.02$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4516440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under39c455.53$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3614636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over45c419.68$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1917644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c418.1$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Under51c298.04$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under50c294$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14716849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c284.79$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.414,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c276.79$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.523,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under49c263$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.872,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c197.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.863,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under55c181.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over52c152.04$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c137.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.065,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over51c126.37$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.921,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Under51c116.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7721854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over44c115.8$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under56c108.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4550648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…583abacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c86.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under47c83.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8118957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under50c79.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.916040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under55c68.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over74c68.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.518055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4afc…7e90backed Over52c66.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under50c53.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.683946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2643246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under53c48.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over47c42.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.474637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c42.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.171,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c31.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.991,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over45c31.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1154246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over46c30.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4919051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under56c30.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Under50c30.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over52c28.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5716052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under47c28.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1924946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under50c27.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6920149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under55c26.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under49c21.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7759141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under50c21.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8521357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c20.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.921,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c44…752ebacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2a…f1d6backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-65.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Over72c15.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3314643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.