TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Trail Blazers50c31,620$15,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,807.9736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves49c11,767$5,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,001.0638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves52c11,107$5,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,378.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Trail Blazers52c10,993$5,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,68120948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Trail Blazers53c10,619$5,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,62829347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Timberwolves53c10,359$5,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,870.619655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves51c8,595$4,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,184.3813142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeaa…10d6backed Trail Blazers47c6,894$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers50c6,460$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Timberwolves54c5,123$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.6240350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers50c4,310$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Trail Blazers52c4,162$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves48c4,144$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.972,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves54c3,971$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.6631644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Trail Blazers51c3,895$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.132259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…f3fcbacked Timberwolves53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers28c3,149$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves53c2,631$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.572,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b4…aefebacked Timberwolves53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves50c2,232$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Timberwolves50c2,025$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.3522643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Trail Blazers52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves50c1,821$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves49c1,598$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.622,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves53c1,511$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Trail Blazers52c1,484$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.519445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Trail Blazers52c1,423$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74042648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Trail Blazers47c1,168$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.1513750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Trail Blazers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves49c993.75$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves54c900$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Timberwolves47c899.97$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.9915147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4999…2c83backed Timberwolves53c893.6$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves53c889.94$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.2750653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves55c744.37$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Trail Blazers50c676.85$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Trail Blazers46c645.62$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29528147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Trail Blazers49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers46c553.16$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.921,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Trail Blazers47c510.81$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Trail Blazers53c443.4$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Trail Blazers52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Timberwolves50c293.5$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Trail Blazers45c288.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Timberwolves55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Timberwolves53c250$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7523845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Trail Blazers45c205$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.258350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…583abacked Timberwolves47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Timberwolves50c195.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.511,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc1…36bbbacked Timberwolves54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Timberwolves55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8281845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers44c174.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Trail Blazers51c125.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Trail Blazers52c121.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.387648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Trail Blazers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Timberwolves49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Timberwolves52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Timberwolves55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Trail Blazers50c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Timberwolves50c83.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7317960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves52c79.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.353,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers47c72.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.143,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Timberwolves48c70.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8350648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Timberwolves51c69.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8720149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Timberwolves47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3953839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Timberwolves53c55.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Timberwolves56c53.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7540541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Timberwolves55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4540960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves54c43.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.191,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Trail Blazers46c43.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0619051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Trail Blazers45c43.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.551,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Timberwolves53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196653%35 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Timberwolves53c39.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.551,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves46c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Trail Blazers54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Trail Blazers46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6224330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Trail Blazers52c33.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2215649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Timberwolves53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.