TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Trail Blazers, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,821,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,844,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,821,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 634 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Trail Blazers28c456,344$127,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,500.637266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves71c241,738$171,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,469.442,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves71c100,082$71,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,023.721,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers29c70,000$20,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,30060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Trail Blazers30c55,061$16,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,328.0213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves72c54,697$39,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,382.311,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves73c49,750$36,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,432.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Timberwolves76c45,000$34,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,718.1819653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers29c44,632$13,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,000.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves72c36,000$25,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves68c35,717$24,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,380.221,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Trail Blazers29c35,555$10,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,431.6113842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers29c34,266$10,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,078.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Timberwolves72c32,400$23,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,07211653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves73c31,667$23,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,550.0622453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves72c28,897$20,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,091.292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves71c27,500$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Trail Blazers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers17c24,880$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,240.043,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers29c21,348$6,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,190.851,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers29c20,243$5,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,779.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves73c20,135$14,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,436.4561851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Trail Blazers33c20,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves71c17,065$12,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,948.8537557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves72c16,226$11,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,480.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Trail Blazers33c16,122$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.1140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Trail Blazers30c14,700$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41028649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Trail Blazers12c14,500$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7809117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Trail Blazers29c13,865$4,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,020.764052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Timberwolves72c12,294$8,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.4444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves72c11,993$8,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.042,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Trail Blazers1c11,761$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Trail Blazers30c11,386$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Trail Blazers29c11,000$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,19035547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves69c10,749$7,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.1438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves72c10,436$7,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers4c10,035$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.974,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Timberwolves72c10,015$7,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.1823245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Timberwolves72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Timberwolves72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Timberwolves67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Trail Blazers28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.995349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Timberwolves73c9,999$7,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.734856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Trail Blazers27c9,998$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.4615247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Trail Blazers26c9,823$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.013151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers8c8,039$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.513,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Trail Blazers30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers0c7,894$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.934573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves73c7,756$5,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.013,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Timberwolves73c7,400$5,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9988754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Timberwolves69c7,292$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.7920849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c9…9ecfbacked Trail Blazers32c7,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.951752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Trail Blazers31c6,300$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Trail Blazers4c6,145$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Trail Blazers28c6,071$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers27c6,061$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.441,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Trail Blazers0c5,825$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.528820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Timberwolves74c4,891$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.6448956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers30c4,303$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.92,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves70c4,035$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.9872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Trail Blazers33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32012524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Timberwolves71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Timberwolves72c3,960$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Trail Blazers27c3,932$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.3548944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Timberwolves72c3,850$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.065251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Timberwolves72c3,610$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.749053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Trail Blazers16c3,600$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Timberwolves70c3,520$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.8914450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Trail Blazers14c3,519$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.719033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Timberwolves72c3,492$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.763351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e1…60febacked Timberwolves72c3,472$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.221250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves73c3,163$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.012,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Timberwolves71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Timberwolves72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9935251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves76c2,983$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…675dbacked Trail Blazers33c2,700$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0e7…409dbacked Timberwolves72c2,700$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers29c2,694$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7016…c6e8backed Timberwolves68c2,600$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Trail Blazers27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67520355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ae…5c8ebacked Timberwolves68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…93ccbacked Trail Blazers15c2,457$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3666533.8%22 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x560a…a398backed Timberwolves73c2,202$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.541070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+86%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21e7…c843backed Trail Blazers27c2,193$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.111553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Trail Blazers28c2,143$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves70c2,143$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.861,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves72c2,100$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Timberwolves72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.332680.8%21 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+59.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed Timberwolves71c2,083$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.9314855.4%82 W · 66 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Trail Blazers1c2,029$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.757211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Trail Blazers29c2,016$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.6713234.8%46 W · 86 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Timberwolves73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5407771.4%55 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Trail Blazers31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Timberwolves73c1,982$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.122962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+80.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Timberwolves71c1,957$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.876254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Timberwolves71c1,941$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.3410236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves69c1,921$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.622,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fff…16cbbacked Trail Blazers27c1,799$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.731844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9782…9630backed Timberwolves73c1,791$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.571850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.