TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5ed…d25f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST5853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$315
Delray Beach Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex Michelsenbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rio Open: Cristian Garin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$842.72
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Petra Marcinkobacked Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$109
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosabacked Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jelena Ostapenko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+204.2%+$1,104.57
Les Sables d'Olonne: Ekaterina Kazionova vs Astrid Lew Yan Foonbacked Kazionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Qatar Open: Valentin Royer vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+54.4%+$56.08
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Moyuka Uchijima vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
New Delhi: Karan Singh vs Daniel Michalskibacked Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+251.2%+$1,067.64
New Delhi: Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geertsbacked Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+41.8%+$125.41
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbertbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$313.41
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ella Seidelbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+459.2%+$11,479.11
Brisbane 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Rei Sakamotobacked Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,910
Dallas Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Ben Sheltonbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,332.6
Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+54.8%+$630.3
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublikbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$620
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,333.2
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,833Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+39%+$714.79
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$102.11
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2680.8%21 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+59.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+75.6%+$1,210.13
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+109.3%+$377.61
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.2%+$307.97
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$583.33
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+67.1%+$604.15
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$550
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$632.43
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,860Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$1,168.17
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$301.75
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$966.67
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$149.25
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+614.3%+$860
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$106.36
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$419.28
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$258.75
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+233.3%+$116.67
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$290
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$330.56
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$33.01
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104.1%+$121.78
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+213.7%+$2,136.72
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zipsbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,732.17
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$3,370
Iona Gaels vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+78.9%+$2,525.56
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,072Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+60.6%+$1,255.94
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$730
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.