TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No74c10,706$7,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.5110057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No51c9,506$4,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,658.088153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c5,226$3,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.546,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No75c3,139$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.819856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes26c2,647$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes25c2,606$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.4485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c2,548$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.812,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6506437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes26c2,333$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.667332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes26c2,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.996759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c1,741$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.661,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No74c1,233$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.639763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes25c1,200$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.914128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No75c1,174$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.471752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c1,121$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.421,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes59c1,089$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.492623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes62c1,050$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No52c932.35$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.532857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes42c892.86$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed No51c832.28$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No74c827.64$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.644564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe1…30c6backed Yes65c823.58$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.332254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes26c777$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.022725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No76c722.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No58c661$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.9714975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes26c632.08$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.341546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes26c627.79$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.235942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes35c608.51$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9658446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c599.99$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Yes26c561$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.862846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c558.62$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb902…8105backed Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes27c537.04$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No48c532.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.157839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No75c458.27$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes51c452$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Yes36c404.17$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10819732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes13c400$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504035%14 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x667c…7958backed Yes25c399.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed No49c389.52$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.71643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes30c365.2$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.271225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes22c360$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4325052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No74c313.19$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.529358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes26c313.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.410838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b40cbacked Yes50c307.12$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes52c295.96$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7196445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c283.83$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.142,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes27c280.59$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.769936.4%36 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes26c279.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.592445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes54c273.29$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.787143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d89…d5a6backed Yes26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes28c261$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.57227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Yes26c251.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.465038%19 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes52c243.26$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.58839.8%35 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes64c227.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.191,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No75c226.67$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.674365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c223.15$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.251,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.54353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5211923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9095…b6cbbacked Yes26c198$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.48933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd9…f849backed Yes26c196.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.222030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No70c191.89$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8161143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd8f…7cacbacked Yes27c188.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc497…f3f5backed Yes26c184.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No73c178.15$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9725530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes14c176.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7245142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes20c174.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.074630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd7bb…0fd6backed Yes26c171$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No74c169.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.184854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Yes30c167.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506036.7%22 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes14c167.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232516%4 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9130…6856backed Yes13c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No59c144.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9942324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbeba…f7d9backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes26c134.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0720246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No65c129.95$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.487082.9%58 W · 12 L+14.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No72c122.84$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.410341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes26c121.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3910036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No75c105$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2510246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8538…ee29backed Yes29c103$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2727227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.