Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7eae8d5237f565d813d04102bfb8f6001c23b9fcffb13aa41b72d5aa58c31ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $922,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $922,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 938 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 50,904$26,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,102.02 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 51c | 45,407$23,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,378.63 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 52c | 38,118$19,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,902.64 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 35,270$18,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,438.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 33,869$16,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.71 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…d5dbbacked No | 51c | 33,689$17,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,026.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 30,761$15,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,648 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 47c | 30,636$14,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,380.1 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 49c | 30,000$14,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,372.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 52c | 27,000$14,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,009.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 25,490$13,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,248.01 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 23,850$12,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,156.64 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 53c | 21,926$11,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,620.92 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 48c | 18,127$8,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,474.58 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…7d45backed Yes | 48c | 16,633$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,649.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 48c | 13,159$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,822.33 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 48c | 12,553$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 53c | 11,903$6,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.67 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 49c | 11,306$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,776.7 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 51c | 10,367$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290.68 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 51c | 10,298$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.17 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 50c | 10,046$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.04 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 49c | 8,000$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.89 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 51c | 7,750$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.5 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 43c | 7,738$3,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.9 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 48c | 7,432$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.34 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 53c | 7,190$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.7 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 51c | 7,088$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.88 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 48c | 7,047$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.12 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 48c | 6,467$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.4 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 51c | 6,000$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.91 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 50c | 5,977$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.48 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 51c | 5,960$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 5,806$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.61 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 48c | 5,523$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 5,339$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.46 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 52c | 5,212$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.88 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 53c | 4,997$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.41 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Yes | 49c | 4,951$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed No | 52c | 4,951$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 43c | 4,469$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.87 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 4,463$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.67 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed No | 52c | 4,455$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Yes | 49c | 4,455$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…92e7backed Yes | 50c | 4,230$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.3 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Yes | 48c | 4,167$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 53c | 4,079$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.87 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 50c | 3,685$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.8 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 50c | 3,459$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.73 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Yes | 47c | 3,404$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc342…4c32backed Yes | 49c | 3,082$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 54c | 2,774$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 2,615$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.27 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 52c | 2,545$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.11 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 53c | 2,357$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…ba42backed Yes | 49c | 2,216$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 57c | 2,210$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 51c | 2,102$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…e891backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +297%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 50c | 1,986$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…caa4backed No | 52c | 1,922$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 1,880$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.38 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 52c | 1,873$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.96 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 52c | 1,804$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed No | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 60c | 1,666$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.82 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 48c | 1,662$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.9 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…dcedbacked Yes | 49c | 1,516$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.98 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.