TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07c8…e891

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,967Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$764.96
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,356.6
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$470.4
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.51
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$882
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$192.26
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$671.43
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$384.93
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+402.2%+$1,748.34
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+733.3%+$6,073.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$672
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$624.41
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,342Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$2,285.01
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$841.51
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,420
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$475.99
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$548.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+297%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$510.4
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100.78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$182.79
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$514.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+3,827.4%+$622.71
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$528.19
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,934Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+62.7%+$1,840.15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,335.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,171.03
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.02
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,710.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,109.03
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.05
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$820.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$268.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,797Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.3%+$2,740.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,170
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.