TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$392,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked No25c118,629$29,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,495.691127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4908backed No10c100,000$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes75c35,996$26,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.116051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes76c24,590$18,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,980.95058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No25c16,476$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080.171118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No25c12,500$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1252729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes76c12,192$9,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00f2…212ebacked Yes76c11,039$8,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.47580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No25c10,773$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.259028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Yes75c10,756$8,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes75c9,366$7,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.8150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No25c9,318$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.499459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No8c5,000$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No24c4,666$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.865054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked Yes76c4,436$3,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes76c3,296$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.057468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No25c2,800$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes75c2,721$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.22060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No25c2,680$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes75c2,263$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.1828055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes78c2,261$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.551833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8a7…818bbacked Yes75c2,093$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No26c2,013$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.285655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes75c1,866$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.573562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No25c1,805$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.7412050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d73…f538backed Yes75c1,773$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.13825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07c8…e891backed Yes75c1,710$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f6…673abacked No25c1,700$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No24c1,600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3845616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No26c1,360$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes75c1,335$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.673145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a2b…411bbacked Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…c9efbacked Yes75c1,312$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.72955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Yes76c1,211$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…e940backed Yes76c1,210$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.883100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes75c1,035$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.636160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b21…1c38backed Yes75c1,030$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Yes75c933.33$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb5…ca57backed Yes76c919.29$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes74c810.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.81875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Yes78c769.04$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes75c728$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.486035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Yes75c668.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.561070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.674946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.892250%11 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes76c657$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.683560%21 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked Yes76c652.11$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.84966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4420…23c9backed Yes76c528.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.071050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes77c521.8$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes76c501.04$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.256753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259445.7%43 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9de…02acbacked Yes76c467.11$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b4…786dbacked Yes75c453.51$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes76c421.05$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.051952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2979…59e5backed Yes76c420.11$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb405…8771backed Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666b…2b83backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No24c400$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5be…c98dbacked Yes74c398.65$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.741258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f9…d046backed Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.741172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.741894.4%17 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+49.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe34a…273ebacked Yes75c378.55$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.64785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes75c373.33$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.331566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9c…e860backed Yes78c372.46$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No6c367.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9729545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes75c363.91$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9811149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Yes75c357.89$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.471764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes77c353.82$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.656100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb55b…15d4backed No25c351$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.75650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No25c333$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.255740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes75c326.41$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes79c324$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6612251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No13c321.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5750%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No23c293.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9217155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93b…440cbacked Yes75c291.37$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes76c263.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.261656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1626645.5%121 W · 145 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-78.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes77c259.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.873455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes79c253.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.235863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824f…c336backed Yes75c251.81$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No24c247.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5135054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a8…aadebacked Yes76c247.37$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Yes74c243.24$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.