La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15cd9d263819456f3961ba01248b2c99a24b54f7d5726df7c5b4d2117bf9e0b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 5c | 26,567$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.51 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 8c | 5,420$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.62 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 3,050$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 9c | 2,381$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,780$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 1c | 1,401$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 770.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 3c | 631.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 9c | 308.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c90…d54bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 8c | 220.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…bfbfbacked Yes | 9c | 214$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 10c | 191.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.