TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d73…f538

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+477%+$4,770.06
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,676.37
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$172
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$253.13
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$199
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,374.06
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,321.8
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,707Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+309.1%+$5,275.59
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,877Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+112.1%+$7,706.17
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$42.47
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$62.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.43
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$271.98
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$213.42
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$196.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.24
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.