Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd7a28ffa1bdcf9ecc22d97f33da594687ce913b5b8ad3948870e195982dafd

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,999 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	4,987$2,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,679.1	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under	42c	3,075$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.6	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	56c	3,072$1,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720.52	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	65c	1,500$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975	150	42%63 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	35c	1,498$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.68	310	51.6%160 W · 150 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under	23c	1,245$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.3	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over	37c	995$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.15	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over	40c	629.88$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.41	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Under	47c	527.28$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.46	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	45c	507.4$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.65	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under	30c	421.8$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.26	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over	74c	400.58$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	75cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under	23c	398.68$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.98	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed Over	73c	397.24$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over	30c	341.21$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.14	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over	77c	322.66$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.45	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	62c	308.34$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.17	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	+14.4wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	62c	275.75$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.96	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	60c	256.16$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.7	154	59.7%92 W · 62 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over	49c	254.54$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.05	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	79c	251.86$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.84	72	62.5%45 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	22c	249.68$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.75	423	47.8%202 W · 221 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over	57c	237.54$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.4	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d73…f538backed Over	78c	216.64$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over	77c	206.5$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.01	76	61.8%47 W · 29 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	23c	199.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under	36c	198.39$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.97	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under	46c	172.4$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.1	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	62c	162.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+10.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over	31c	160.08$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.63	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	24c	155.69$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.33	460	47.4%218 W · 242 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under	36c	149.87$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.91	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	73c	136.04$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.31	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…4391backed Over	77c	135.52$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over	51c	134.8$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.41	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-56%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	38c	130.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.17	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b0f…50bebacked Over	76c	130.74$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.36	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over	77c	129.07$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.38	89	65.2%58 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Over	77c	128.73$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.38	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	71cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	39c	111.4$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.3	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	23c	109.28$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.08	385	47.8%184 W · 201 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over	68c	101.39$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.95	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-7.9wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	78c	99.4$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.53	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	29c	99.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	387	39.8%154 W · 233 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over	55c	99.14$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over	48c	98.59$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.56	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over	65c	98.58$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.72	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	53cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	58c	98.18$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.85	115	47.8%55 W · 60 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over	65c	92.64$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.52	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	78c	86.77$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.68	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-5.5wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over	60c	80.89$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.47	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	77c	77.5$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	152	53.9%82 W · 70 L	-14.7wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Over	77c	77.44$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	50c	74.67$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.15	232	44%102 W · 130 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over	62c	71.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.34	60	70%42 W · 18 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over	51c	71.91$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.68	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	23c	67.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.81	111	36.9%41 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over	75c	66.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.67	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over	76c	65.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over	77c	64.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.69	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	22c	64.5$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.31	418	54.8%229 W · 189 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over	69c	60.32$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.71	25	76%19 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	64cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over	59c	50.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.75	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+6.5wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	67c	50.35$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.74	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over	67c	49.84$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.39	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Under	26c	46.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.52	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	60cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over	65c	46.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.31	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under	24c	42$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.92	171	42.7%73 W · 98 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under	30c	39.71$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.79	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over	76c	39.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over	76c	39.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	73cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over	77c	38.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked Over	50c	35.28$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7482…da18backed Under	46c	34.46$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over	62c	34.23$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over	67c	30.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-57%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49a9…ea7ebacked Over	80c	30$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-66%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over	58c	29.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	62c	29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under	39c	26.72$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5460…15b5backed Over	60c	26.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x531c…678cbacked Over	77c	25.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cb…126cbacked Over	78c	25.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over	45c	24.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-5.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-44%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over	66c	19.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.19	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	70cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over	77c	19.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	47	72.3%34 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	71cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over	72c	15.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over	72c	15.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Over	77c	13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5this page
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event