Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc92edc33100e58ac00b39c5e55acd752cef69c284531b9707e9ea811c4a3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hellas Verona FCof Atalanta BC, Hellas Verona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,016 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 11,906$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 11,570$6,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.65 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 8,000$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.98 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 6,333$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 6,279$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Atalanta BC | 44c | 4,517$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.79 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 3,082$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.72 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 2,952$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 2,253$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Atalanta BC | 39c | 1,399$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.42 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 1,170$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Atalanta BC | 44c | 1,153$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Hellas Verona FC | 59c | 842.83$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.07 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Atalanta BC | 40c | 819.4$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.9 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hellas Verona FC | 60c | 716.89$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.26 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Atalanta BC | 43c | 276.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 270.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Hellas Verona FC | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…df5bbacked Atalanta BC | 44c | 184.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 167.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Atalanta BC | 44c | 158.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 149.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 148.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Atalanta BC | 44c | 132.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 128.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Atalanta BC | 36c | 121.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Atalanta BC | 43c | 115.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 99.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Hellas Verona FC | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde42…e01bbacked Atalanta BC | 43c | 92.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 86.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 83.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…3dbabacked Atalanta BC | 44c | 81.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atalanta BC | 42c | 79.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…9d9fbacked Atalanta BC | 52c | 66.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Atalanta BC | 46c | 54.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 53.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 52.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Atalanta BC | 44c | 51.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Atalanta BC | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Atalanta BC | 34c | 49.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Atalanta BC | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 45.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Atalanta BC | 43c | 41.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Atalanta BC | 53c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 37.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 35.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…058bbacked Atalanta BC | 43c | 34.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Atalanta BC | 52c | 33.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hellas Verona FC | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Hellas Verona FC | 58c | 29.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…2139backed Atalanta BC | 44c | 28.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 26.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Hellas Verona FC | 58c | 25.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Atalanta BC | 44c | 22.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Hellas Verona FC | 55c | 22.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Hellas Verona FC | 56c | 21.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…b066backed Hellas Verona FC | 57c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Hellas Verona FC | 62c | 18.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.