Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82b37b0a96cb4e33a933fbc91c1d4533fc499af9cf06f40195304df0f30df226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,828 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 2,969$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.19 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 33c | 1,248$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.15 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 766.85$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Yes | 44c | 675.96$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 656.06$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.67 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 25c | 469.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked No | 55c | 341.02$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 320.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 32c | 310.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 36c | 297.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 55c | 237.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 56c | 212.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 40c | 148.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 60c | 131.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 46c | 129.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 44c | 125.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Yes | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 54c | 102.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 46c | 101.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 41c | 99.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 42c | 83.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed No | 68c | 77.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 45c | 66.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 64.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 61.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 64c | 58.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 26c | 57.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 38c | 39.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 45c | 33.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 55c | 30.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 55c | 30.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 22.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 72c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.