TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x955f…2a6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex Boltbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.55
Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,854Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$1,952.77
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$1,211.9
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Kamil Majchrzak: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$107.82
Barletta: Duje Ajdukovic vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+59%+$203.51
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamotobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$379.74
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.78
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+39%+$96.61
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Ilya Ivashka vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$343.66
Alicante: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.05
Roman Safiullin vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.8
Sebastian Ofner vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$392.69
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.33
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.9
Hersonissos: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.37
BNP Paribas Open: Dino Prizmic vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$305.64
Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouamebacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$293.66
Brasilia: Henrique Rocha vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$284.53
Brasilia: Miguel Damas vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$639.34
Kigali: Marco Trungelliti vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$451.61
Kigali: Marco Cecchinato vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$498.73
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.27
Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.17
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,393.66
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$440.46
Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.99
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$379.91
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.12
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$940
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300.07
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$612.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+115.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+108.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,956.45
Kraken vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.05
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,597.41
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$307.54
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$383.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$147.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$287.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.