TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,676 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c17,367$7,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,180.5598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,549.962850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under37c6,400$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36819345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over63c3,245$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.6314755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over56c2,520$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Under38c1,961$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7451346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ce…5707backed Over34c1,503$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.514100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+89.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over63c1,378$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.8612055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c1,154$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.6734937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x712d…b55fbacked Over43c958$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-41.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over60c831.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.72740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…016dbacked Under51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over56c712.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.42757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85c…6439backed Over67c706.98$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over43c630.01$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.993234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x955f…2a6fbacked Over64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Over47c613.48$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+81.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003234.4%11 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c543.72$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.4530954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c540.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.984753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.322268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd88d…f708backed Over65c504.7$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under37c489.19$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under40c458.95$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.38048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.436946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.634461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under61c326.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003452.9%18 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-16.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2cf…80b0backed Under48c289.58$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under38c286.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.712564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over77c266.7$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.341369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under38c251.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.842356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over47c210.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.533729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ad5…8a5ebacked Over61c195.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over62c187.82$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.794837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc24b…40d1backed Under40c182.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Under37c178.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ef…924bbacked Under40c156.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5e…da36backed Over61c143.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over62c139.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.88361.4%51 W · 32 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c134.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over57c117.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.547548%36 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under38c116.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over62c115.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under37c112.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.657048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under40c111.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.593450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over62c110.51$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.064940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over37c105.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.414546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over47c104.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over47c102.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under36c98.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.562334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3610357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Under13c89.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under40c87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.561241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over45c84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Under38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under41c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454645.7%21 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under38c74.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.223354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under16c73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.652650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under56c70.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.292556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over61c66.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under37c65.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.389257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd867…2d76backed Over64c57.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+125.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over61c55.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4219849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Under37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under36c54.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+56.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under60c53.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.962653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Under40c50.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over61c50.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.858747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0271…156bbacked Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1810839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52aa…e5dabacked Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+102.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Over61c48.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under41c48.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c44.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4216865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.981154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over54c38.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.941758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Under42c36.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Under57c36.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.871080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over62c32.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Over39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over70c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.231136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over61c25.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a9…7876backed Under48c23.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…896cbacked Under49c20.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8af5…cd81backed Over61c19.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.