TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66b2…5165

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Mirassol FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+143.8%+$17.81
Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.7
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.78
Will Club Guaraní win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
CA Juventud vs. Club Guaraní: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.4
CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.1
São Paulo FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.33
Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.77
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$24.4
EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+236.2%+$56.89
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Casa Pia AC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.2
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.45
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+791.1%+$79.9
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+334.8%+$46.2
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.45
SC Braga vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+159.7%+$24.6
Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$28
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.62
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$45.49
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+259.7%+$36.1
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+488.2%+$99.6
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+105.9%+$10.8
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+89.9%+$14.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.45
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$19
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+313.2%+$37.9
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+180.4%+$38.6
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+265.9%+$43.59
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Columbus Crew vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.