TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$540,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,196 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c438,809$228,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210,193.573930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c132,907$63,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,466.2325551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over48c125,000$60,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over48c45,668$21,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,919.7313748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c27,615$12,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,595.616,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over48c18,979$9,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,109.926550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c15,000$7,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,159.9835652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c8,935$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,290.244,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2c…d9c8backed Under51c7,018$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,438.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c6,889$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,357.792,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.0750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4184…12c7backed Over49c5,969$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over49c5,576$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7325560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c4,400$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1561,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9206350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7159272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.8418259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Under51c3,183$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over49c2,804$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1c0…1f1cbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Over50c1,903$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e2…2c81backed Under51c1,902$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Over48c1,574$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9514138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c1,100$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over48c1,052$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.891346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4805949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over21c961.93$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1823435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c895.85$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0113347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over49c895.67$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.8811450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c880$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c780.39$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.396567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Over49c663.79$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9726…892ebacked Under51c663.79$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf392…bb0dbacked Over49c609.08$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c599.72$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8723258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over49c517.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.457268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over50c500.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19239948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over48c381.69$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8720758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over40c354.67$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.132,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…571fbacked Under51c332$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e30…646cbacked Over49c327.08$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ac…2f18backed Under51c323$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over47c317$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9910112.9%13 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…3e44backed Under51c310.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…0a1abacked Under51c306$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9419…1526backed Over49c297.64$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe43c…ccd5backed Under51c297.44$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116f…deb2backed Over49c287.92$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…1180backed Over49c286.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec61…daf4backed Under51c283$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc0…91d7backed Under51c282$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf547…fd11backed Under51c280$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…a0d4backed Over49c279.75$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…729bbacked Over49c278.41$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a58…9811backed Over49c278.25$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaca…8961backed Under51c276$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6c…5160backed Under51c267.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7878…bee1backed Over49c267.75$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…9c0fbacked Over49c262.75$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over49c255.6$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4839052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc916…6a87backed Over49c252.35$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7640…b42cbacked Under51c252$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ad…0dc5backed Over49c247.25$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c83…4433backed Under51c231$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…9480backed Under51c230$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over48c225$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10829259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c221.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7623250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over49c220$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.615757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under66c216.13$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4331747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over49c213.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.561030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b7…d38ebacked Under51c202.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65bc…32c5backed Over49c200.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c198.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9632164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48bb…d62fbacked Over50c186$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x603e…a246backed Over48c173$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over48c170.49$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Over49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over49c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c149.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.211850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under52c149.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9932345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.253961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.