Premier League · resolved market
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb08bd570f9dc72b5b7f5e9330f393bc099d477c22092b7794147201ae0a074a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,989 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 4,585$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 1,024$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.43 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 56c | 889.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.84 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 55c | 600$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 55c | 578.18$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 58c | 432.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 396.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 380.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 75c | 314.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 75c | 267.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 57c | 222.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 62c | 124.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 114.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 112.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 101.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 75c | 100.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 27c | 96.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 50c | 85.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…1df1backed Over | 75c | 82.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 66.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…df41backed Over | 73c | 65.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 26c | 57.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 69c | 55.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 55.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 57c | 53.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Over | 48c | 52.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Under | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Over | 75c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…9078backed Over | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over | 71c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.