Premier League · resolved market
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a8030e50af5b674721bc92806d31a0fdc9a154bff7847f6a57d53b2c946297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,071 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 606.75$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 545.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 28c | 527.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 26c | 374.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 74c | 351.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 26c | 346$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Under | 73c | 312.7$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 28c | 117.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 968 | 43.8%424 W · 544 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 101.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Over | 27c | 81.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Over | 27c | 79.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Over | 27c | 77.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 76.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,080 | 45.2%488 W · 592 L | -19.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Over | 27c | 72.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 74c | 42.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.