TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37d6…4c63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-61.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$43.18
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.66
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.56
1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.67
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$180.17
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$60.97
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.05
1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.34
Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35.39
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$68.46
Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$73.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$20.63
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 129.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$85.62
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$73.33
Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-3.5)backed Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Grambling State Tigers vs. Texas Southern Tigers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$171.47
Navy Midshipmen vs. Colgate Raiders: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.52
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$58.56
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-7.5)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.82
CSUN Matadors vs. Cal Poly Mustangsbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.79
Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota State Bison: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$67.42
Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.23
AHL: Texas Stars vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Grand Rapids Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$53.08
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.72
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.17
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$43.1
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$33.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+131.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$31.73
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$36.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.84
Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$59.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Derby County FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$87.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sweden vs. Slovakia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$61.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.