Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c696225d14773af02ee5292a39f5adb6e6b434a7442349beb09325347ca25c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,334 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 70c | 1,427$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.22 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,019$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 890.95$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 68c | 403.39$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Over | 68c | 333.65$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 325.3$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…96c5backed Under | 32c | 321$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 57c | 303.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 67c | 255$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 247.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 241.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 187.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 33c | 164$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 57c | 156.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 120.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 31c | 120.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Under | 32c | 115.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Under | 32c | 111.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…6572backed Over | 68c | 111$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 41c | 109.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 35c | 107.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Under | 32c | 107.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…a454backed Over | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 33c | 97.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…7acbbacked Over | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 30c | 66.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3caf…cfebbacked Over | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Over | 75c | 53.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Under | 35c | 44.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 67c | 41.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 32c | 32.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 34c | 29.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.