Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8362344417e9b9addffa56256afeab90c8a05494b3e855660552c88b9ccaae17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,775 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 1c | 3,750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 1,167$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 7c | 981.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.63 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 804.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 5c | 800$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 9c | 428.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed Under | 13c | 400$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 26c | 386.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 70c | 313.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…b6a4backed Over | 9c | 265$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 13c | 265$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 5c | 253$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.35 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 13c | 250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 13c | 250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 7c | 228.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.43 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 16c | 120.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…dbffbacked Over | 10c | 101.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +911.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Under | 79c | 76.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Over | 26c | 68.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 16c | 62.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 32c | 37.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 32c | 37.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 80c | 32.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.