Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e2b441df1acb32f832dc6cbd97442c9e2130c81463484b0926b41a4d7f271d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,351 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 3,412$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 1,483$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 44c | 1,121$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.23 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 1,045$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 43c | 615.57$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 49c | 505.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 43c | 491.91$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 20c | 363$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 50c | 301.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 49c | 207.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 176.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 35c | 170.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 141.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 54c | 127.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 49c | 123.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…8941backed No | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 52c | 95.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 17c | 92.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 23c | 84.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 49c | 74.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 69.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 53c | 59.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 78c | 52.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes | 22c | 51.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +113%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed No | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 37.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 36.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 70c | 30.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 49c | 29.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 49c | 25.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 67c | 24.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed No | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Yes | 49c | 22.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 64c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.