Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ecc9b048795b27a04053c22c96c3e5f91a348a4420820112d7ee4053493c841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,948 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 5,197$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,627$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Over | 39c | 2,382$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.02 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 40c | 2,222$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.26 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…f839backed Under | 1c | 1,996$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 958.59$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 38c | 843.7$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.27 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 50c | 653$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 634.79$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.95 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 10cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 15c | 449.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.47 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 49c | 412.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 15c | 399.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.47 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 22c | 386.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.22 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 20c | 385$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 61c | 381.67$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 9c | 362.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Under | 68c | 301.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Under | 43c | 299.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 78c | 280.23$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.58 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 40c | 278.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 40c | 251.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 232.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 20c | 231.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 228.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 218$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 18c | 199.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 57c | 187.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 18c | 180$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 9c | 158.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 29c | 150.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 20c | 139.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 40c | 136.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 55c | 124.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 74c | 107.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Under | 80c | 105.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 62c | 94.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 88.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 20c | 72.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Over | 37c | 67.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 64c | 42.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 65c | 36.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 56c | 29.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 63c | 22.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 71c | 21.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ed18backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Under | 62c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 63c | 15.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.