TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f59…21cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Kam Jones: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+196.3%+$785.1
Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+195.8%+$783.26
Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+180.2%+$720.81
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 17 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+141.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.02
FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,285.7
SK Brann vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+300.8%+$3,432.92
Hamarkameratene vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.24
Will Rangers FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.9
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+567.8%+$3,227.49
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$1,151.93
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.83
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.4
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$73.15
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+1,036.6%+$175.01
Fredrikstad FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.95
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+110%+$523.79
St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.15
Molde FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+84.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.14
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$41.08
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.65
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.98
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.97
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.96
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$31.29
Will FC Seoul vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$602.12
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+574.3%+$851.69
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$20.1
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$6.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+104.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+228%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+165.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+192.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,215
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,298.52
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$273.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+208.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+208.1%+$29.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rochdale AFC vs. York City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panama win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,176.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.