Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6effb9ac1a8fa9c9f24fa1ca2d598dd847fc230e565bb2410bd791e2793a3cda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 56c | 2,106$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.45 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,947$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.52 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked No | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked No | 37c | 959.54$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 15c | 934.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 28c | 876$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 803.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.3 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 53c | 785.19$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.85 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 22c | 670.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.67 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 35c | 630.66$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Yes | 4c | 580.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 72c | 552$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 61c | 496.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.47 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed No | 55c | 491.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 4c | 406.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 63c | 393$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.59 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 36c | 391$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.34 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 387.82$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.46 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 305.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 35c | 300$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.01 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 57c | 285.91$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 50c | 257$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 41c | 241.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Yes | 43c | 198.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 196.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Yes | 77c | 194.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 66c | 160.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 158.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 15c | 136.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 26c | 132.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 123.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 41c | 109.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…e5f2backed Yes | 45c | 97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 34c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 31c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 73.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d09…f0e0backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 34c | 57.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 52c | 55.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 42c | 47.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 44.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 40c | 42.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 37c | 39.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 35c | 35.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 41c | 26.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 24.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.