Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45645907cdf29cdd270dc425fe8a9e82f739dc28acb2dc64db4e326c399175e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 3,033$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.07 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,817$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 30c | 1,684$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.14 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 44c | 1,569$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.04 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 869.09$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 30c | 838.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 61c | 805.29$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.57 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 30c | 747.8$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.34 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 32c | 701$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Yes | 9c | 638.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 31c | 501.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 22c | 454.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 432.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 388.15$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 27c | 349$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 38c | 321$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…49babacked Yes | 33c | 302.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 45c | 248.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 244.17$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 70c | 234$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 71c | 192$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 187.23$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…7c90backed Yes | 54c | 181.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 164.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 135.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 35c | 131.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 47c | 126$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 33c | 114.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 23c | 101.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9761…9070backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 17c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 90.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 87.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 83.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked No | 61c | 82.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…ca0fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 67.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 30c | 66.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 26c | 62.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 27c | 61.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 56.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 41.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 56c | 28.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 70c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 20.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 72c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will FC Seoul vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.