TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9761…9070

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$11.87
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.43
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$9.15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.19
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+43%+$62.38
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.71
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.06
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.96
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$235.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.