Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda9c206564f16cd85ab99a1041584e87825bf032264ecf5475d7059514153b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Yes | 13c | 14,685$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 8,071$6,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.17 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 31c | 7,731$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 28c | 7,356$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 5,393$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.03 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 76c | 2,100$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 32c | 1,418$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 1,061$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 747.21$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…e8f6backed Yes | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 77c | 295.8$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 24c | 278.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 4c | 252.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 24c | 248.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 223.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 223.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 179.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 77c | 157.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 12c | 149.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 14c | 149.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 145.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 24c | 139.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 24c | 138.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 29c | 132.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 124.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 72c | 121.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 24c | 114.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…ced8backed Yes | 13c | 113.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 67c | 112.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 32c | 98.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 96.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…0557backed No | 76c | 91.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 25c | 73.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 22c | 73.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 76c | 67.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 75c | 65.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…8a24backed Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 21c | 61.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 73c | 61.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Yes | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 59.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 31c | 55.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428c…c64fbacked Yes | 25c | 54.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 24c | 53.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 53.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 53.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 68c | 49.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9761…9070backed Yes | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 24c | 48.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…6f29backed Yes | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 44.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 78c | 39.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…ba30backed Yes | 32c | 34.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…5981backed No | 76c | 32.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 31.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…60b6backed No | 71c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?this page
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.