Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2610a1e97612d02d87d4b84955dd86c02f5126a6146fafa5259229b074d10ad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $514,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 64c | 84,149$53,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,383.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 56,202$35,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,963.76 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 36c | 34,124$12,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,839.61 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 31,468$10,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,989.14 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 64c | 30,575$19,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,568 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 27,904$10,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,855.99 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 36c | 26,760$9,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,073.2 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 24,671$5,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.32 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 64c | 19,680$12,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,503.8 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 16,572$5,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,606.23 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 36c | 13,301$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,512.65 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed No | 40c | 12,034$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,213.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Yes | 64c | 10,654$6,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,818.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 36c | 9,722$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.31 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Yes | 26c | 7,604$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 64c | 7,578$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851.65 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 2c | 7,250$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 35c | 5,491$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 36c | 4,996$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 32c | 4,841$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.27 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 37c | 4,811$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.93 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 36c | 4,583$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed Yes | 64c | 4,178$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 64c | 3,951$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 62c | 3,297$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 70c | 3,264$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 3,239$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 64c | 3,205$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed Yes | 64c | 3,016$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 37c | 2,937$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.46 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed No | 36c | 2,890$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 26c | 2,834$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.88 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 54c | 2,704$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 2,551$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 2,524$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.59 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 63c | 2,421$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed No | 36c | 2,130$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.96 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 36c | 1,945$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.8 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 1,933$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.01 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 40c | 1,898$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.97 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…7fb3backed Yes | 41c | 1,765$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 64c | 1,590$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 38c | 1,569$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,569$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 1,558$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.11 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 64c | 1,535$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.24 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 1,470$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.69 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 64c | 1,441$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 1,338$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.53 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 1,334$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.16 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 34c | 1,232$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.84 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 9c | 1,189$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…9309backed No | 61c | 1,085$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 29c | 1,043$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.78 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Yes | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 26c | 955.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…f43fbacked Yes | 42c | 919.24$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 908.28$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.3 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 51c | 898.33$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.6 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 37c | 894.94$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.82 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 63c | 878.86$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 36c | 870.07$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.69 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 26c | 800$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 64c | 724.02$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.37 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Yes | 47c | 670.54$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…090abacked Yes | 3c | 660.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 36c | 659$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.76 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 36c | 640.02$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.92 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 64c | 608.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 36c | 608.69$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.56 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 40c | 606.27$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 26c | 567.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…00e3backed No | 37c | 534.02$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 36c | 491.48$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 36c | 484.76$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.32 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 40c | 484.41$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…b0fdbacked Yes | 36c | 462.1$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 37c | 447.59$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 66c | 445.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 64c | 426.58$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 38c | 400.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.29 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 36c | 400$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 64c | 395.27$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…2fccbacked Yes | 64c | 388.93$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed No | 36c | 388.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 16c | 386.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 24c | 381.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 375.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.