TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe12c…e7c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,659Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,131.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,575.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,366.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,832.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,937Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,041.17
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,863Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,908.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.08
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$408.83
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,215.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$365.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$62.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$13.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,813.15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$5,499.99
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$626.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$597.54
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,722.34
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,444Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,854.26
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$974.97
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,267.18
Will PSV win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,593Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,164.99
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,276Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$569.11
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,284.21
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400.69
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$53.36
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$59.47
Will PSV win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.73
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$597.4
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,257.44
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,279.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,073.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,156.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.