TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,858,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,078,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,858,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes61c204,886$125,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,035.15058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No40c191,561$75,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,764.349748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes62c180,006$111,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,883.2830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No39c129,570$50,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,104.566145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c121,186$48,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,480.444,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c89,694$34,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,274.441,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c88,053$55,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,021.1250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c72,510$27,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,276.872,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c42,667$16,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,175.421,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No40c41,645$16,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,531.5424145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No39c40,689$15,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,802.5990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Yes60c37,785$22,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,114.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No40c34,599$13,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,827.113138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No38c30,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.8813645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No35c27,050$9,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,418.641,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2e…2c74backed Yes61c26,439$16,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,311.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No40c24,580$9,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,927.987922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No40c23,290$9,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3163540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes61c21,248$12,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,249.726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No40c20,166$8,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,097.917139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed No40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No37c19,005$7,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,031.771741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No39c18,888$7,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,366.36127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes55c15,968$8,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,240.926160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No38c13,366$5,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.035152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c12,262$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.83,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes61c11,388$6,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,441.431338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes63c11,262$7,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.856051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No38c11,000$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.963748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7005052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes63c10,000$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7506240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No40c9,610$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8445242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes65c9,000$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.340033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes72c8,999$6,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.37955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Yes58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No37c8,600$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No37c8,500$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.916740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes55c8,479$4,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,790.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes58c8,034$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No37c7,996$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.146640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7af…efb7backed Yes62c7,670$4,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes62c7,500$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes52c7,165$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.4512944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes60c6,955$4,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.11862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8768…8b58backed Yes58c6,894$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-42.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No35c6,762$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4003946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No40c6,564$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.736243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No41c6,480$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.9253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No39c6,322$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.6820449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes61c6,250$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.58142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes62c6,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes60c5,854$3,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.25646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes51c5,854$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.71957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No43c5,822$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.4569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes51c5,694$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.2715246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes51c5,438$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.715940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe44…c279backed Yes63c5,103$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes60c5,001$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0504461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.978041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed No37c4,945$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.63742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No40c4,800$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9205232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes63c4,763$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.1520148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc466…6201backed Yes60c4,752$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.891258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No12c4,736$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.68045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes60c4,695$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7f…4d2abacked No39c4,551$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes62c4,488$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.4233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No37c4,463$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66619255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes60c4,424$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.723250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No39c4,326$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.8315443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes60c4,270$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.0115646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No46c4,270$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.1712050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes61c4,098$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.365343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No40c3,975$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5902245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No40c3,818$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.22326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes53c3,753$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.211250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0247…64a1backed Yes63c3,720$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Yes64c3,689$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.11546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No37c3,500$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.994740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Yes60c3,475$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No38c3,474$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33010539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.333857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…4363backed Yes60c3,332$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes61c3,298$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.091346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes62c3,270$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.65440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No40c3,262$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.174348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes59c3,252$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.742536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes63c3,247$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.464362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No42c3,247$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.772334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No39c3,205$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.958334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes65c3,154$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.983946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes62c3,150$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1978245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No35c3,069$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.6725648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes63c3,016$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.8723727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+137.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.