TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes6c37,657$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.744,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes17c15,231$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.081,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes17c10,007$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes1c6,280$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.565119.6%10 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes18c6,022$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.9626550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes17c6,000$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes4c5,585$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.121,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes17c5,330$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.4720449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c31…23cbbacked Yes9c5,252$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked Yes1c5,014$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.64130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9916740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c4,967$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.5279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c4,050$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes17c3,270$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.015440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes16c2,125$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.766640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes6c1,400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bb1…3272backed Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes17c1,093$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes18c983.33$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1776222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Yes18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Yes17c705.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e2b…1bc9backed Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes16c624.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes17c613.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes15c604.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.693452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c3…301fbacked Yes17c598.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…46e1backed Yes15c560$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes17c511.59$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.979840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5ec…01a3backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…94cfbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes6c490.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.863339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes18c416$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.71225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb55f…5ed3backed Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8153…c439backed Yes17c388.24$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes17c369.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644637%17 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes16c340.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.443935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a7…a2f0backed Yes18c305.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55df…078ebacked Yes10c300$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2705…3a60backed Yes18c294.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x190b…e60ebacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12dc…3c60backed Yes16c287.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes8c274.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc002…ca99backed Yes17c270.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes16c226.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6313…246dbacked Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+26.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Yes17c221.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.662065%13 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes18c213.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Yes17c198.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5042…f786backed Yes18c191.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Yes16c190$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…5379backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes17c174$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.586346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes17c169.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.416344.4%28 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes15c164.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes17c150.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes14c143.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f02…8654backed Yes17c137.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4549…0450backed Yes17c133.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes18c129.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.397030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…435fbacked Yes16c123.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aad…ef0abacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b8…1417backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012936.4%47 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3faa…2defbacked Yes18c112.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b1…5576backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes15c105.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.232437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc6a…360cbacked Yes17c102.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a22…f8d8backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca82…f806backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8a7…2653backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edb…a7c7backed Yes17c91.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b01…e682backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+42.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f27…fc32backed Yes18c84.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.624052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8194…ecd6backed Yes18c71.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes17c66.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2620452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1269…9a11backed Yes17c65.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes19c65.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.376946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd43b…5668backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb732…9737backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick14cpaid+171%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.