TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2601…61a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$38.76
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+25%+$302
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,656.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,383Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+561.9%+$30,244.1
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$131.52
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$848.9
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$147.5
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$592
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,011
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$588
All 11 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.57
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,217.7%+$16,109.13
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.45
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.52
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.68
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.01
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+158.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.98
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+43.1%+$7.52
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.9%+$120.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$109.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$174.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,386.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.