TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa7b…0c1abacked Yes9c40,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes10c36,254$3,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.18210%0 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes4c28,195$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000230%0 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes4c15,347$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.88306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf95…77bdbacked Yes9c10,752$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc693…72dbbacked Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7147…9a01backed Yes9c5,105$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75cf…dc7fbacked Yes4c4,957$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes7c4,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd8…4ed3backed Yes3c3,784$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-93%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bf…dbf7backed Yes8c3,472$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes8c3,188$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes3c3,175$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-87.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes6c2,821$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.32120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…4d62backed Yes9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes3c2,701$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes3c2,667$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.181168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200258%2 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes2c2,200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.76214.5%9 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05a…e914backed Yes8c1,944$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes5c1,800$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.73046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa51e…6ec9backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes9c1,406$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.54515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick9cpaid+17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes2c1,151$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.623327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes4c1,100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449747.4%46 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1c…5e6dbacked Yes6c1,083$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes10c1,056$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes5c975.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes4c907$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+364.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb1…a0ebbacked Yes2c900$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5660%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Yes8c884$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.72110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b08…dd9bbacked Yes7c816.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.521010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-75.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes9c800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes3c795.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.34120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Yes3c788.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+128%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes3c729.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.68825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d1…dabdbacked Yes2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed5…f2e7backed Yes6c672.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Yes9c650$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f06…3ee7backed Yes9c566.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.99616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce64…4f41backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6110…2c74backed Yes8c521.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6970%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes3c449.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes4c443.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c95…7ca6backed Yes9c422.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-78.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccf…8e1dbacked Yes3c355.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Yes7c327$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+93.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c97…fb0cbacked Yes9c312.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c307.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff6…a2d5backed Yes4c288.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77cb…9c2abacked Yes5c250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e6…6400backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5e…1ff4backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…a695backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e8…01f0backed Yes7c222.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e3…328dbacked Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes8c185$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65824.1%14 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Yes8c170.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x984d…2a3ebacked Yes10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9860…af5bbacked Yes9c133.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45c…f439backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e35…8fa4backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…121cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x247f…006dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7fa…3435backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.