Golf · resolved market

Will Matt Wallace win the 2026 The Open Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x811d79f912d77eae56c59574b7e899e6047821a6c6e6509f81ff1c879f5c5d5e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,510 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	2c	18,223$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.04	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	1c	1,999$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.01	116	8.6%10 W · 106 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+133.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e87…28d9backed Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	1c	1,475$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes	2c	1,430$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	6cpaid	+427.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x946e…9749backed Yes	2c	607.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	+95%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Matt Wallace win the 2026 The Open Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event