TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,462 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c6,800$25 inLost-$24.6283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes5c5,557$300 inLost-$3005324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes2c5,555$128 inLost-$127.6313739.4%54 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes2c5,423$133 inLost-$133.293327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc87…521abacked Yes1c5,340$50 inLost-$50185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+152.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd8…4ed3backed Yes2c4,300$77 inLost-$77.4313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-93%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a69…0a8fbacked Yes7c2,676$200 inLost-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes2c2,158$51 inLost-$51.31168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes2c1,409$31 inLost-$30.893046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes2c1,125$22 inLost-$22.145226.9%14 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes2c1,044$22 inLost-$21.55120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes3c990.77$26 inLost-$26.415250%26 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Yes3c644.94$20 inLost-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-87.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c629.6$18 inLost-$17.93030%9 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes2c505.82$10 inLost-$10.1125449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Yes5c465.12$24 inLost-$24.25812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick6cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes3c422.01$14 inLost-$14.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes7c358.57$25 inLost-$25382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd62…5bb3backed Yes6c316.46$20 inLost-$19.81315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.