TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,084 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc693…72dbbacked Yes6c20,000$1,130 inLost-$1,1301711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7b…0c1abacked Yes4c12,645$493 inLost-$493.14130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc87…521abacked Yes3c6,667$200 inLost-$200185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+152.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd8…4ed3backed Yes6c4,300$245 inLost-$245.1313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-93%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c3f…2fc1backed Yes3c3,096$94 inLost-$94.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes2c2,340$43 inLost-$42.521168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes6c2,266$131 inLost-$130.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Yes3c1,231$33 inLost-$33.28812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick6cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost-$301816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f89…6d1cbacked Yes6c826.59$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes6c750$46 inLost-$45.532638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+78.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes4c733.47$33 inLost-$33120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e68…682abacked Yes3c666.67$20 inLost-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-76.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc438…3ae6backed Yes7c579.71$40 inLost-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes3c500$15 inLost-$14.57529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe767…d60dbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost-$15.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes4c390$16 inLost-$16.225824.1%14 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e35…8fa4backed Yes3c330.63$10 inLost-$101513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…6400backed Yes5c207.84$10 inLost-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c206$12 inLost-$11.952953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.