TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes1c20,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,819.994047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+296.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ff…fe11backed Yes79c17,105$13,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No50c8,935$4,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,487.766241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No61c6,663$4,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,086.197040%28 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No71c5,031$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.0413739.4%54 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No70c4,990$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f1…7da3backed Yes18c4,860$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+1,159.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes12c4,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,720.225324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Yes12c4,130$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,632.8254%1 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-66.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes12c3,481$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+747.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c3,160$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.93030%9 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c2,659$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.221168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes11c2,632$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.952516%4 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes58c2,229$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.45565.5%36 W · 19 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+123.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x69ad…31e6backed No56c2,220$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.46812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes29c1,747$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.214928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No1c1,635$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.351060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+61%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed Yes21c1,503$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.87175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No49c1,328$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.017062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes18c1,265$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.93244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No5c1,191$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.53850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc050…067dbacked Yes11c1,131$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.351711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No60c1,030$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes17c1,000$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.84714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd25…4042backed Yes9c947.05$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.08425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51df…8605backed Yes11c916.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+205.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes11c910.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.391241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d6…fca7backed Yes12c821.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+310.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes42c730$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No7c728$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0925449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf566…1e81backed Yes4c692$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6621100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,206.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No42c627.87$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.842441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes34c581.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.7911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Yes18c581$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.79812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick6cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes18c567.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.788118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4455…4cd9backed Yes32c540.6$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x428b…5b25backed Yes46c531.85$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.732020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929a…a3d8backed Yes21c531$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.55922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287c…d68fbacked Yes11c472.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+127.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No3c448$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Yes11c424.41$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.88425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+128%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Yes47c420.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd1…cef5backed Yes59c365.48$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.48728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes9c343$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+427.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d7…3745backed Yes30c333.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ee…a1debacked Yes63c313.75$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes7c300$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes11c289.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.47382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f8…d951backed Yes35c282.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes8c269$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.322546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No16c255$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes15c253.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.334710.6%5 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes27c242.1$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1764613%6 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes14c238.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.033915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfafd…8837backed Yes11c233.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.641127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+219.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes18c224.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.721612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No58c215$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.429747.4%46 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes7c158.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+364.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Yes29c137.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.11540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a8…e9d9backed Yes11c136.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+358.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes12c127.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+749.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No66c117.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.918756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…b6debacked Yes17c115.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.16742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick18cpaid+204.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Yes44c111.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.26742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe14…d255backed Yes10c103$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee8…ea89backed Yes19c100.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e8…8211backed Yes58c99.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Yes22c95.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…b33bbacked Yes16c92.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.02166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9732…cd57backed Yes17c84.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+500.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No76c79.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.944065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No72c76.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.626958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes50c73.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.182623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes19c57.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.89742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a7…c764backed Yes40c49.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.68333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b2…95fdbacked Yes44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+124.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a6…456cbacked Yes34c43.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.08825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77da…4aa9backed Yes45c33.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No62c25.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.