TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95ec…b6de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Golf, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$23.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.3%+$25.64
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+60.6%+$15.16
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.3%+$9.04
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+70.5%+$10.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+65.8%+$9.86
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Scotland win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$14.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.3%+$4.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick18cpaid+204.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+211.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+211.2%+$42.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47%+$28.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.