Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09f04e4f74062bffd50684d727c3e1a64662ce97b1fd539590555087aa1b321a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 77c | 83,856$64,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,286.84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Yes | 77c | 65,000$50,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,950 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 23c | 64,052$14,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,591.37 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 23c | 43,500$10,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,216.18 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 29,432$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,764.88 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 23c | 27,072$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.51 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 24c | 23,225$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 78c | 22,034$17,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.08 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 23c | 17,792$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 26c | 14,580$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.35 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 23c | 8,188$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 23c | 7,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 23c | 5,952$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.44 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 4c | 5,952$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.26 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 23c | 5,595$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.97 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 24c | 4,521$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 77c | 4,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 23c | 4,377$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.66 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 22c | 4,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.94 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 23c | 3,640$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.2 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 78c | 3,506$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 77c | 3,102$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.9 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 23c | 3,050$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 78c | 2,923$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 24c | 2,811$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.65 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 21c | 2,788$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.65 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 4c | 2,705$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 23c | 2,701$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.1 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 78c | 2,634$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.18 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 74c | 2,500$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.25 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Yes | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 18c | 2,300$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,971$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.92 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,623$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.28 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 1,608$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 24c | 1,596$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…7567backed Yes | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 77c | 1,465$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 73c | 1,378$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.14 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 23c | 1,365$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.62 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 21c | 1,295$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Yes | 78c | 1,281$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 21c | 1,270$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 1,215$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e53…740ebacked No | 21c | 1,199$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 21c | 1,129$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.08 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 24c | 1,113$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…2766backed Yes | 78c | 1,075$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…3418backed Yes | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…f492backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a2…36f2backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 27c | 941$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Yes | 78c | 899.98$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked No | 21c | 899.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 21c | 886.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 79c | 873.06$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 76c | 858.98$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Yes | 74c | 851.35$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…409fbacked Yes | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 77c | 777$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 23c | 750.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Yes | 77c | 747.87$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.01 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 79c | 697.85$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 21c | 666.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 3c | 589.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…6e7ebacked No | 21c | 560$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 77c | 555$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a21…ff54backed Yes | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 78c | 499.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…4686backed Yes | 78c | 455.13$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 22c | 454.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 24c | 454.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 24c | 452.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 73c | 411.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 23c | 393.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.