Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a38eb3a58243cd9563d48de178cc95214f8012679a7fd3447869a8ff60c511

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $279,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $274,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,249 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	8c	53,167$4,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,268.33	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	7c	17,444$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,221.05	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes	9c	12,117$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	9c	10,050$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.25	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.01	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes	8c	10,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	9c	8,100$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes	0c	7,511$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes	9c	6,856$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.7	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce6…107cbacked Yes	2c	4,589$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes	8c	3,500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	9cpaid	+252.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes	8c	3,372$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.76	91	11%10 W · 81 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-46%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc472…bfb9backed Yes	8c	2,314$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Yes	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	8c	2,001$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.08	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes	9c	1,667$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.99	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes	4c	1,397$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.49	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2e…04e9backed Yes	9c	1,244$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x840a…8fc8backed Yes	6c	1,233$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	8c	1,203$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.98	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee26…2c79backed Yes	9c	1,134$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes	6c	958.33$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b35…37e8backed Yes	8c	750$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes	5c	699.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	322	22.4%72 W · 250 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes	2c	695.22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	287	36.2%104 W · 183 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes	9c	666.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes	9c	633.33$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf35b…983bbacked Yes	8c	584.92$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.79	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…bb37backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1175…7f81backed Yes	9c	505.44$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.71	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	8c	479.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.32	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	7c	414.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	300	50.3%151 W · 149 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Yes	9c	341.44$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.73	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	6c	329.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde10…212dbacked Yes	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	138	32.6%45 W · 93 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d0…03c1backed Yes	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	119	23.5%28 W · 91 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	5c	297.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	200	27%54 W · 146 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-18.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.23per pick	35cpaid	+112.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes	7c	249.96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	90	41.1%37 W · 53 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	9c	240.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.38	204	25%51 W · 153 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b6…df1bbacked Yes	9c	233.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27e4…ff39backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…94e7backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	45.4%69 W · 83 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6738…13eebacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	26cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bb4…7cedbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dda…a6e1backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a7…f58abacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2b…a74cbacked Yes	9c	211.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	37cpaid	+87.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes	8c	204.66$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	153	50.3%77 W · 76 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	185	51.9%96 W · 89 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe41b…321dbacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb1b…9469backed Yes	6c	196.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a51…823fbacked Yes	9c	166.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+11.6wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+73%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	45%18 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes	7c	142.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes	8c	137.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7a6…f02fbacked Yes	9c	132$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes	8c	126.69$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd659…4abbbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	410	40.5%166 W · 244 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x987b…f191backed Yes	9c	122.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8f…182abacked Yes	9c	120.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06?this page
Will Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?No won
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event