TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc72…bb37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+354.5%+$177.27
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+257.1%+$102.86
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+257.4%+$215.78
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25.8%+$12.88
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$27.46
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$39.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$84.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$103
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.