TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Tidebound (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Tideboundof MOUZ, Team Tidebound
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound27c7,778$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,665.589440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ14c7,346$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.052,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed MOUZ53c5,096$2,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676.581952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Team Tidebound46c4,984$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.6919047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound44c4,335$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.171,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5806…5863backed Team Tidebound30c3,600$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5203100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+107.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x461f…582fbacked Team Tidebound30c3,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…3e55backed Team Tidebound30c3,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4503100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+107.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b68…6f4ebacked Team Tidebound30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed Team Tidebound30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked MOUZ73c2,750$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0615852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e430backed MOUZ58c2,534$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.114949%24 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Team Tidebound29c2,533$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.388253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed MOUZ22c2,449$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.036750.7%34 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20a5…de1bbacked Team Tidebound69c2,448$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.95358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Tidebound64c2,435$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.4834468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed MOUZ49c2,300$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1257143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…4ec7backed MOUZ70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c8…f6e0backed MOUZ70c1,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…2516backed MOUZ70c1,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d3…af3ebacked MOUZ70c1,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Tidebound29c1,600$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14021847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bd6…3779backed MOUZ70c1,600$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a89…bfddbacked MOUZ70c1,600$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x826d…9947backed MOUZ70c1,600$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf507…b7d1backed MOUZ70c1,600$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ34c1,600$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54020642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Tidebound71c1,537$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.3210941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63d0…87ccbacked MOUZ70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Tidebound27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.9739936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked MOUZ75c1,322$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9906046.7%28 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7340…4656backed MOUZ70c1,300$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed MOUZ14c1,064$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.796346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Team Tidebound42c1,037$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.839750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed MOUZ71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7105244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed MOUZ65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504264.3%27 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75053652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…4d41backed Team Tidebound27c974$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Tidebound26c966.49$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.7516050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e08…d210backed MOUZ73c951$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x270e…f2f3backed MOUZ73c949$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x696d…ebf8backed Team Tidebound27c926$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Team Tidebound25c921.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6913540%14 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Team Tidebound28c838.4$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.739126.4%24 W · 67 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Team Tidebound29c799.98$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd0a…1506backed Team Tidebound29c778.03$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+250.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d47…444fbacked MOUZ26c754.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Tidebound23c722.45$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.2928341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4734…4ed5backed MOUZ79c705.13$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Team Tidebound28c700$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Tidebound28c691.96$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.2111253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed MOUZ73c681.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004678.3%36 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed MOUZ74c649.22$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4220735.3%73 W · 134 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ50c599.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9980443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff3…c17fbacked MOUZ18c599.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082245.5%10 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed Team Tidebound29c564$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed MOUZ71c546.3$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.8711551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked MOUZ20c529.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.298411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Tidebound29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2414251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ21c509.78$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4617950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Tidebound27c499.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.998037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed MOUZ3c489.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77630.3%23 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ26c485.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4286949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Tidebound71c481.76$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0423465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ76c460.44$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2456848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked MOUZ19c459.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.68330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ6c452.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2826958.7%158 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Tidebound75c440.42$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8723546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ74c436.16$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3247660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked MOUZ38c422.27$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.446068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked MOUZ72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed MOUZ72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002576%19 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Tidebound24c415.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8712147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d5…4a04backed Team Tidebound79c406.82$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ75c403.29$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4731545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed MOUZ59c400$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2375825.9%15 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed MOUZ71c394.37$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805078%39 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ73c387$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.511833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ce…2972backed MOUZ4c367.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.811040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Team Tidebound23c350.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4519743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed MOUZ72c347.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Team Tidebound27c338$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.744257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1318…0af2backed Team Tidebound25c324.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5417633.5%59 W · 117 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked MOUZ74c324.32$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404573.3%33 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb4e…5ff1backed MOUZ18c320$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed MOUZ76c312.42$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.579852%51 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb59b…916bbacked MOUZ35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.547360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10864149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked MOUZ72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Tidebound72c275$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8459250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked MOUZ73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed MOUZ72c270.65$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8719856.1%111 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Team Tidebound50c266.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8414537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1e…7beabacked Team Tidebound29c258.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2304…4137backed MOUZ72c254.86$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked MOUZ28c250$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed MOUZ70c226.91$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.841866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed Team Tidebound28c225$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1628055%44 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed MOUZ54c220.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206943.5%30 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2fb…793ebacked Team Tidebound23c217.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.52245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.