TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7b0…6960

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 51 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT8055%44 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$30.89
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$26
Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.07
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$236.66
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$85.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$64.32
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$78.01
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$190.55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.74
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$82.73
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$22.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+37%+$21.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$26.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+74.2%+$72.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$68.76
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+117.1%+$43.16
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$34.09
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$50.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.01
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+68.2%+$68.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$110.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$85.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$85.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$49.92
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$55.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+164.3%+$75.81
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs The Huns Esports (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$57.75
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.54
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$67.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$82.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.82
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$131.2
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Spirit (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.2
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$33.6
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$29.45
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$38.5
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$159.59
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+203%+$80.4
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40.28
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+257.1%+$57.6
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+37%+$40.5
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$102.24
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.73
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.