NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd8e7b714aa56fa0652d06d12fc733a0c209ff3376f7db0ba1b462af8c0be01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $784,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $787,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Flyers | 43c | 200,930$86,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,530.29 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Islanders | 57c | 200,000$114,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flyers | 43c | 67,967$29,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,730.66 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Islanders | 57c | 34,609$19,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,726.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Flyers | 42c | 22,492$9,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,045.32 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Islanders | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Islanders | 57c | 19,392$11,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,053.53 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…f20fbacked Flyers | 43c | 12,200$5,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 73c | 11,055$8,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.61 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…5276backed Islanders | 57c | 10,608$6,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,046.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2fc6backed Islanders | 58c | 9,500$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Islanders | 24c | 8,696$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.76 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…4836backed Islanders | 57c | 8,611$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…43c8backed Flyers | 43c | 8,596$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 57c | 8,479$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.35 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…9bbdbacked Flyers | 44c | 6,222$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…24c0backed Islanders | 56c | 6,222$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7261…bc0bbacked Islanders | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 25c | 6,000$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.25 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Flyers | 42c | 5,849$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.42 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Islanders | 58c | 4,030$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.4 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 56c | 4,011$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.27 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…6167backed Flyers | 43c | 3,300$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…e06abacked Islanders | 54c | 3,249$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a8…3d2bbacked Flyers | 46c | 3,249$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe71…ff4fbacked Islanders | 54c | 2,943$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…614ebacked Flyers | 46c | 2,943$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…e6e5backed Islanders | 54c | 2,918$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…e871backed Flyers | 46c | 2,918$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 56c | 2,916$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.38 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…d07dbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,891$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…06e2backed Islanders | 54c | 2,891$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 57c | 2,732$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.02 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…2a52backed Islanders | 54c | 2,715$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…e1d9backed Flyers | 46c | 2,715$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…1042backed Islanders | 54c | 2,627$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…221ebacked Flyers | 46c | 2,627$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Islanders | 3c | 2,586$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9adb…fd1ebacked Islanders | 54c | 2,573$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…3b2fbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,573$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…a287backed Flyers | 46c | 2,493$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…f5b4backed Islanders | 54c | 2,493$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd24…42abbacked Islanders | 54c | 2,460$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…ed83backed Flyers | 46c | 2,460$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Flyers | 47c | 2,458$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.08 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Islanders | 40c | 2,449$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.62 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…2ccabacked Islanders | 54c | 2,406$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e5…e318backed Flyers | 46c | 2,406$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28c6…6782backed Islanders | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe294…174dbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…3fc5backed Islanders | 54c | 2,386$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…25b4backed Flyers | 46c | 2,386$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…075ebacked Islanders | 54c | 2,328$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6a…5f39backed Flyers | 46c | 2,328$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fca…799fbacked Islanders | 54c | 2,311$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…d60abacked Flyers | 46c | 2,311$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb5…c66fbacked Islanders | 54c | 2,309$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…98b1backed Flyers | 46c | 2,309$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers | 43c | 2,286$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.4 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b6…312abacked Islanders | 54c | 2,260$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…59f0backed Flyers | 46c | 2,260$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…154dbacked Islanders | 54c | 2,258$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacf5…e72cbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,258$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…bd1ebacked Islanders | 54c | 2,256$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…4f9abacked Flyers | 46c | 2,256$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…d455backed Flyers | 46c | 2,227$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa3…68d9backed Islanders | 54c | 2,227$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…9816backed Islanders | 54c | 2,226$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…a012backed Flyers | 46c | 2,226$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…cc3abacked Flyers | 46c | 2,197$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…1be8backed Islanders | 54c | 2,197$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 35c | 2,187$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.48 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a2…9bc3backed Islanders | 54c | 2,185$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9266backed Flyers | 46c | 2,185$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…3297backed Islanders | 54c | 2,173$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…af5fbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,173$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…84cabacked Flyers | 46c | 2,163$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c48…fcd3backed Islanders | 54c | 2,163$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5963…7cb7backed Islanders | 54c | 2,158$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4f…6c65backed Flyers | 46c | 2,158$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x491a…abf0backed Islanders | 54c | 2,131$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6f…ac36backed Flyers | 46c | 2,131$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e6…398cbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,080$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19d…a03fbacked Islanders | 54c | 2,080$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 51c | 2,076$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.98 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…655fbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,067$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7508…6726backed Islanders | 54c | 2,067$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…a35abacked Islanders | 54c | 2,062$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4b4bbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,062$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…b8e5backed Islanders | 54c | 2,061$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc511…e14dbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,061$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…bf57backed Islanders | 54c | 2,025$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…bde7backed Flyers | 46c | 2,025$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…2ed7backed Flyers | 46c | 2,020$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…bd85backed Islanders | 54c | 2,020$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Islanders | 35c | 2,016$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.8 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…b3eabacked Flyers | 46c | 1,979$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…8e5fbacked Islanders | 54c | 1,979$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…ad6dbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,975$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Islandersthis page
- Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.