Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d7b88f7e51a86e6897967f5b02d3808ceb02a0b4b25be869300d6e54a9bac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 57c | 39,474$22,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,804.58 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 35,000$14,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,755.72 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 23,960$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 12,308$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 55c | 10,000$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.45 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Aurora | 56c | 9,000$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.98 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81b8…cf09backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 8,064$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora | 59c | 7,521$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.79 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 6,871$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.34 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 6,500$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 5,799$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.14 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 58c | 5,141$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.04 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 4,306$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.38 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 4,251$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Aurora | 55c | 3,818$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.16 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 55c | 3,640$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.85 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 3,537$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.88 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…c1fdbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 3,290$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 2,715$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.82 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 2,359$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Aurora | 58c | 2,354$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.49 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 2,117$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.68 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,920$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 58c | 1,841$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.23 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,737$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.86 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Aurora | 61c | 1,634$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.21 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.92 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,591$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.38 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,487$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,361$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.24 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,267$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 63c | 1,143$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 19c | 1,029$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Aurora | 54c | 918.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.36 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 55c | 902.77$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.27 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 888.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 867.67$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.53 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 58c | 788.26$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.12 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 51c | 784.72$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 762.08$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.32 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 713.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Aurora | 58c | 687.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.41 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Aurora | 55c | 671.36$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Aurora | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Aurora | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora | 52c | 550$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Aurora | 75c | 547.09$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora | 53c | 506.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.95 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…a699backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 477.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Aurora | 58c | 476.03$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 465.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 437.85$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 57c | 437.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.22 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 415.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 406.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 381.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 370.81$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 58c | 370$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Aurora | 58c | 346.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 59c | 335$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 326$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.32 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 300.02$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Tundra Esports | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Aurora | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Aurora | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Aurora | 56c | 269.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…6d67backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 268.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Aurora | 55c | 261.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 71c | 260$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed Aurora | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Aurora | 57c | 234.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 230.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa612…3397backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 227.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 220.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 59c | 220$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Aurora | 53c | 219$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Aurora | 60c | 213.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…bb25backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 203.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Aurora | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Aurora | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Aurora | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 190.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Aurora | 59c | 186.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Aurora | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Tundra Esports | 24c | 179.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 178.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…9594backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 175.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Aurora | 57c | 170$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 169.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Aurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.